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Serie A · Round 4 · Sat 12 Sep, 16:00

Lazio
2–2
Full time
AC Milan

Pre-match prediction

35%
28%
37%
Lazio 35% Draw 28% 37% AC Milan

✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Expected goals
1.04 – 1.14
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams to score
44%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 0-1 13% 1-0 12% 0-0 11% 1-2 8%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Lazio
35% vs 25%
Draw
28% vs 30%
AC Milan
37% vs 46%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

AC Milan 3-4-2-1
16
Maignan GK
7.5 1803
5
Winter CB
6.6 1573
31
Pavlović CB
6.5 1571
34
Gila CB
7.2 1548
2
Estupiñán LM
6.5 1527
12
Rabiot CM
1A 6.5 1615
14
Modrić CM
6.2 1622
21
Chukwueze RM
7.2 1544
8
Loftus-Cheek LW
6.3 1611
9
Ramos ST
6.6 1548
70
Cissè RW
6.3 1498
35
Mandas GK
7.5 1635
15
Mussolini LB
6.3 1594
17
Tavares CB
6.9 1641
25
Provstgaard CB
6.3 1584
37
Šutalo RB
1524
16
Frattesi CM
7.0 1594
21
Belahyane CM
6.9 1566
24
Taylor CM
6.7 1602
10
Zaccagni LW
1A 7.5 1709
14
Noslin ST
Goal 7.5 1536
22
Cancellieri RW
Goal 7.2 1529
Lazio 4-3-3

Lazio · Bench

Andrea Pinamonti, Gustav Isaksen, Alfonso Pedraza, Adrian Przyborek, Manuel Lazzari, Danilo Cataldi, Ricardo Bordon, Edoardo Motta, Davide Renzetti, Federico Serra, Valerio Farcomeni, Albert Guðmundsson

AC Milan · Bench

Pietro Terracciano, Christian Pulišić, Sankhoun Diawara, Omari Hutchinson, Diego Moreira, Fikayo Tomori, Christian Comotto, Ardon Jashari, Davide Bartesaghi, Filippo Terracciano, Matteo Gabbia, Alexis Saelemaekers, Francesco Camarda, Yunus Musah, Lorenzo Torriani

Lazio · last 5

Udinese (A) 1-2 W Genoa (H) 1-0 W Bologna (A) 0-1 W Pisa (H) 2-1 W AS Roma (A) 2-0 L

AC Milan · last 5

Juventus (A) 1-1 D Venezia (H) 2-0 W Torino (A) 1-2 W Cagliari (H) 1-2 L Genoa (A) 1-2 W

Head-to-head

13 Sep 2026 Lazio 2–2 AC Milan 12 Sep 2026 Lazio 2–2 AC Milan 15 Mar 2026 Lazio 1–0 AC Milan 29 Nov 2025 AC Milan 1–0 Lazio 02 Mar 2025 AC Milan 1–2 Lazio 31 Aug 2024 Lazio 2–2 AC Milan 01 Mar 2024 Lazio 0–1 AC Milan 30 Sep 2023 AC Milan 2–0 Lazio 06 May 2023 AC Milan 2–0 Lazio 24 Jan 2023 Lazio 4–0 AC Milan

News

AC Milan score three first-half goals to seal derby victory over Inter bbc · 31 Oct 'We fell behind' - what does new San Siro deal mean for AC Milan and Inter? bbc · 31 Oct AC Milan v Inter and the tale of an iconic image bbc · 31 Oct Mussolini’s first Serie A goal marks high-flying Lazio’s thrashing of Sassuolo | Nicky Bandini guardian · 29 Oct European football: Lazio beat Parma to top Serie A; Dortmund lead Bundesliga guardian · 24 Oct Top of the table, empty in the stands: inside the revolt against Lazio’s owner | Nicky Bandini guardian · 14 Sep