Ligue 1
· Round 5 · Sun 20 Sep, 18:45
Pre-match prediction
24%
24%
52%
Marseille 24%
Draw 24%
52% Paris Saint Germain
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.84
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Both teams to score
63%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%
1-2 9%
0-2 7%
0-1 7%
2-1 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Marseille
24% vs 14%
Draw
24% vs 19%
Paris Saint Germain
52% vs 67%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
PS
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3
39
Safonov GK
6.7
1580
5
Marquinhos LB
25
Mendes CB
8.0
1533
33
Zaïre-Emery CB
6.9
1571
51
Pacho RB
6.7
1529
8
Ruiz CM
7.0
1523
17
Vitinha CM
7.2
1540
87
Neves CM
6.9
1542
7
Kvaratskhelia LW
7.4
1528
10
Dembélé ST
6.4
1525
14
Doué RW
1A
7.7
1529
1
de Lange GK
7.2
1541
4
Egan-Riley LB
6.6
1538
21
Aguerd CB
6.0
1522
22
Weah CB
5.2
1523
33
Emerson RB
6.0
1533
8
Abdelli CDM
6.5
1542
9
Gouiri CDM
1A
7.1
1534
14
Paixão LW
5.9
1559
23
Højbjerg CAM
7.2
1499
77
Harit RW
6.5
1535
11
Maupay ST
6.3
1492
M
Marseille
4-2-3-1
Marseille · Bench
A. Gomes, D. Cornelius, U. Garcia, F. Moumbagna, T. Mmadi, E. Mbondo, K. Abdallah, K. Bezahaf, T. Vermot
Paris Saint Germain · Bench
Beraldo, I. Zabarnyi, Ferran Torres, M. Akliouche, L. Digne, M. Godts, Senny Mayulu, Pedro Fernández, L. Chevalier
Marseille · last 5 C
Paris Saint Germain · last 5 C
Head-to-head
20 Sep 2026
Marseille
1–2
Paris Saint Germain
18 Sep 2026
Marseille
1–2
Paris Saint Germain
08 Feb 2026
Paris Saint Germain
5–0
Marseille
22 Sep 2025
Marseille
1–0
Paris Saint Germain
16 Mar 2025
Paris Saint Germain
3–1
Marseille
27 Oct 2024
Marseille
0–3
Paris Saint Germain
31 Mar 2024
Marseille
0–2
Paris Saint Germain
24 Sep 2023
Paris Saint Germain
4–0
Marseille
26 Feb 2023
Marseille
0–3
Paris Saint Germain
16 Oct 2022
Paris Saint Germain
1–0
Marseille
News
No recent news mentioning either team in our sources.