Bundesliga
· Round 5 · Fri 09 Oct, 18:30
Pre-match prediction
72%
18%
Borussia Dortmund 72%
Draw 18%
10% Werder Bremen
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
2.30 – 0.78
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
49%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
2-0 12%
1-0 10%
2-1 9%
3-0 9%
1-1 9%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Borussia Dortmund
72% vs 70%
Draw
18% vs 18%
Werder Bremen
10% vs 12%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
WB
Werder Bremen
4-3-3
1
Hein GK
7.9
1539
2
Deman LB
6.3
1574
5
Pieper CB
6.1
1450
13
Arthur CB
1563
32
Friedl RB
6.5
1403
15
Reis CM
20
José CM
6.5
1534
44
Regeer CM
10
Füllkrug LW
17
Grüll ST
1A
7.2
1536
18
Dinkçi RW
6.4
1493
1
Kobel GK
6.2
1701
3
Anton CB
6.8
1534
4
Schlotterbeck CB
22
Gadou CB
7.0
1545
7
Bellingham CDM
6.3
1541
8
Nmecha CDM
6.6
1518
14
Beier CDM
6.6
1522
18
Nwaneri CDM
1511
20
Sabitzer CAM
6.2
1544
24
Svensson CAM
9
Guirassy ST
6.3
1480
BD
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1
Borussia Dortmund · Bench
R. Bensebaïni, K. Karetsas, Fábio Silva, J. Veerman, A. Meyer, Kauã Prates, S. Inacio, M. Albert, L. Reggiani
Werder Bremen · Bench
O. Wójcik, N. Stark, M. Weiser, Dariusz Stalmach, C. Itten, A. Schlager, Mick Schmetgens, P. Erevbenagie
Borussia Dortmund · last 5 C
Werder Bremen · last 5
Head-to-head
09 Oct 2026
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
Werder Bremen
16 May 2026
Werder Bremen
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
13 Jan 2026
Borussia Dortmund
3–0
Werder Bremen
25 Jan 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
Werder Bremen
31 Aug 2024
Werder Bremen
0–0
Borussia Dortmund
09 Mar 2024
Werder Bremen
1–2
Borussia Dortmund
20 Oct 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
Werder Bremen
11 Feb 2023
Werder Bremen
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
20 Aug 2022
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
Werder Bremen
18 Apr 2021
Borussia Dortmund
4–1
Werder Bremen
News
No recent news mentioning either team in our sources.