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Primeira Liga · Round 4 · Sun 30 Aug, 14:30

Nacional
2–3
Full time
Estrela

Pre-match prediction

49%
25%
26%
Nacional 49% Draw 25% 26% Estrela

ℹPlayer-based sharpening isn't available for this competition yet.

Expected goals
1.46 – 1.04
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
49%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-0 13% 1-1 11% 0-1 10% 2-1 9% 2-0 9%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Nacional
49% vs 40%
Draw
25% vs 29%
Estrela
26% vs 31%

Nacional · last 5

Vitória Guimarães (A) 1-0 L Estoril (H) 2-0 W Santa Clara (A) 2-2 D Vitória Guimarães (H) 2-0 W Santa Clara (A) 2-0 L

Estrela · last 5

Alverca (A) 2-2 D Sporting CP (H) 2-2 D Sporting Braga (A) 2-2 D Famalicao (H) 0-0 D Moreirense (A) 3-2 L

Head-to-head

30 Aug 2026 Nacional 2–3 Estrela 04 Apr 2026 Nacional 2–0 Estrela 09 Nov 2025 Estrela 1–1 Nacional 06 Apr 2025 Nacional 0–1 Estrela 10 Nov 2024 Estrela 2–0 Nacional

News

No recent news mentioning either team in our sources.