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Premier League · Round 15 · Sat 12 Dec, 15:00

Liverpool
vs
Leeds

Prediction

55%
26%
20%
Liverpool 55% Draw 26% 20% Leeds

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.58 – 0.91
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Both teams to score
48%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-0 12% 2-0 10% 2-1 9% 0-0 9%

Liverpool · last 5 C

Fenerbahce (A) 3-2 L Arsenal (H) 0-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 2-0 W Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 2-0 W Villarreal (H) 4-3 W

Leeds · last 5 E

Bournemouth (A) 2-0 L Sunderland (A) 0-0 D Manchester United (H) 1-1 D Arsenal (A) 2-1 L Crystal Palace (H) 0-0 D

Head-to-head

01 Jan 2026 Liverpool 0–0 Leeds 06 Dec 2025 Leeds 3–3 Liverpool 17 Apr 2023 Leeds 1–6 Liverpool 29 Oct 2022 Liverpool 1–2 Leeds 23 Feb 2022 Liverpool 6–0 Leeds 12 Sep 2021 Leeds 0–3 Liverpool 19 Apr 2021 Leeds 1–1 Liverpool 12 Sep 2020 Liverpool 4–3 Leeds

News

Fenerbahce thwart Liverpool and Arsenal pushed in Prague: Football Weekly – podcast guardian · 05 Nov Iraola bemoans 'cheap, messy goals' in Liverpool loss at Fenerbahce espn · 05 Nov Fenerbahce boss Kuyt: Win vs. Liverpool 'another miracle in Istanbul' espn · 05 Nov Another 'miracle' in Istanbul - but this one hurt Liverpool bbc · 05 Nov Why Iraola's Liverpool are still a work in progress bbc · 04 Nov Liverpool crumble at Kuyt's Fenerbahce bbc · 04 Nov Fenerbahce 3-2 Liverpool: Champions League – as it happened guardian · 04 Nov Muriqi caps Fenerbahce comeback to make Liverpool pay for defensive lapses guardian · 04 Nov