Liverpool vs Leeds · Xpected

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Premier League · Round 15 · Sat 12 Dec, 15:00

vs

Prediction

51%

26%

23%

Liverpool 51% Draw 26% 23% Leeds

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.21

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Both teams to score

58%

Model confidence

normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 2-1 9% 2-0 8% 1-0 8% 0-0 7%

Liverpool · last 5 C

Fulham (H) 0-0 D Athletic Bilbao (H) 2-1 W Atletico Madrid (H) 2-1 W Ipswich (A) 0-2 W Nottingham Forest (H) 2-2 D

Leeds · last 5

Newcastle United (H) 4-1 W Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 1-1 D Brentford (H) 1-1 D Nottingham Forest (A) 0-1 W West Ham United (A) 3-0 L

Head-to-head

01 Jan 2026 Liverpool 0–0 Leeds 06 Dec 2025 Leeds 3–3 Liverpool 17 Apr 2023 Leeds 1–6 Liverpool 29 Oct 2022 Liverpool 1–2 Leeds 23 Feb 2022 Liverpool 6–0 Leeds 12 Sep 2021 Leeds 0–3 Liverpool 19 Apr 2021 Leeds 1–1 Liverpool 12 Sep 2020 Liverpool 4–3 Leeds

News

Moving from Newcastle to Liverpool easy decision - Isak bbc · 18 Sep Lewis Koumas on playing ‘the Liverpool way’, showing hunger and hopes for the future guardian · 16 Sep Szoboszlai screamer seals Liverpool’s progress as De Zerbi’s Spurs woes grow guardian · 15 Sep A team in form - how Farke has turned Leeds around bbc · 15 Sep Spurs' Richarlison posts crying emoji after being left out of Liverpool tie bbc · 15 Sep Newcastle couldn't match the physicality of Leeds - Jaissle bbc · 14 Sep Farke 'very happy' with dominant Leeds performance bbc · 14 Sep Leeds inflict heavy defeat on Newcastle to climb to third bbc · 14 Sep