Premier League
· Round 7 · Sun 18 Oct, 13:00
Pre-match prediction
34%
28%
38%
Leeds 34%
Draw 28%
38% Manchester United
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.33
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
55%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%
0-0 8%
1-2 8%
2-1 8%
0-1 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Leeds
34% vs 38%
Draw
28% vs 28%
Manchester United
38% vs 34%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
MU
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
1
Lammens GK
6.4
1608
2
Dalot LB
6.8
1473
5
Maguire CB
7.3
1652
6
Martínez CB
6.0
1488
15
Yoro RB
6.4
1414
8
Fernandes CDM
6.3
1674
16
Diallo CDM
6.2
1546
17
Santos LW
6.3
1467
18
Tielemans CAM
1A
7.7
1481
20
Baleba RW
6.6
1487
19
Mbeumo ST
7.4
1614
1
Trafford GK
6.6
1509
5
Muharemović CB
1A
7.2
1509
24
Justin CB
6.5
1550
30
Elvedi CB
1369
2
Bogle CDM
6.2
1520
3
Gudmundsson CDM
6.3
1512
4
Ampadu CDM
6.4
1540
18
Stach CDM
6.7
1511
19
Okafor CAM
6.3
1535
22
Tanaka CAM
6.5
1534
9
Calvert-Lewin ST
8.0
1526
L
Leeds
3-4-2-1
Leeds · Bench
S. Longstaff, H. Wilson, B. Aaronson, L. Nmecha, J. Bijol, M. Zetterer, J. Bahoya, M. Bard, I. Gruev
Manchester United · Bench
N. Mazraoui, M. de Ligt, M. Mount, M. Rashford, Matheus Cunha, J. Zirkzee, K. Darlow, S. Lacey, H. Amass
Leeds · last 5 D
Manchester United · last 5 D
Head-to-head
18 Oct 2026
Leeds
1–1
Manchester United
13 Apr 2026
Manchester United
1–2
Leeds
04 Jan 2026
Leeds
1–1
Manchester United
12 Feb 2023
Leeds
0–2
Manchester United
08 Feb 2023
Manchester United
2–2
Leeds
20 Feb 2022
Leeds
2–4
Manchester United
14 Aug 2021
Manchester United
5–1
Leeds
25 Apr 2021
Leeds
0–0
Manchester United
20 Dec 2020
Manchester United
6–2
Leeds
News
Manchester United beat Roma in epic second-half comeback
bbc · 04 Nov
Football Daily | Manchester United’s unlikely one-match winning streak and hard-to-please fans
guardian · 04 Nov
Can miraculous Manchester United comeback save Michael Carrick? | Football Weekly video
guardian · 04 Nov
Manchester United’s wild win against Roma showed angry fans we care, says Dalot
guardian · 04 Nov
Mainoo and Lacey raise the spirits but systemic change still required at Manchester United | Nick Ames
guardian · 03 Nov
Manchester United 3-2 Roma: Champions League – as it happened
guardian · 03 Nov
Manchester United produce comeback for the ages as Cunha double floors Roma
guardian · 03 Nov
Arsenal end Anfield wait and Manchester United beaten again | Football Weekly – video
guardian · 02 Nov