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Premier League · Round 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 11:30

Arsenal
vs
Leeds

Prediction

66%
23%
Arsenal 66% Draw 23% 11% Leeds

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.71 – 0.66
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Both teams to score
41%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-0 14% 2-0 14% 1-1 12% 0-0 11% 2-1 9%

Arsenal · last 5 C

Sunderland (A) 0-2 W Napoli (A) 0-1 W Chelsea (H) 2-1 W Aston Villa (A) 0-1 W Coventry (H) 3-0 W

Leeds · last 5

Newcastle United (H) 4-1 W Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 1-1 D Brentford (H) 1-1 D Nottingham Forest (A) 0-1 W West Ham United (A) 3-0 L

Head-to-head

31 Jan 2026 Leeds 0–4 Arsenal 23 Aug 2025 Arsenal 5–0 Leeds 01 Apr 2023 Arsenal 4–1 Leeds 16 Oct 2022 Leeds 0–1 Arsenal 08 May 2022 Arsenal 2–1 Leeds 18 Dec 2021 Leeds 1–4 Arsenal 14 Feb 2021 Arsenal 4–2 Leeds 22 Nov 2020 Leeds 0–0 Arsenal

News

Junior Kroupi on Arsenal radar - Friday's gossip bbc · 17 Sep League Two Fleetwood host Arsenal in EFL Cup bbc · 16 Sep Arsenal rejected Dowman loan offers - Thursday's gossip bbc · 16 Sep ‘They are very similar’: Arsenal’s Dowman reminds Merino of Lamine Yamal guardian · 16 Sep 'Superstar' Dowman shows his class - but Arsenal know caution is needed bbc · 15 Sep Max Dowman doubles up for Arsenal’s back-ups to beat Ipswich in Carabao Cup guardian · 15 Sep A team in form - how Farke has turned Leeds around bbc · 15 Sep Chelsea’s five-star showing and Arsenal frustrated at home – Women’s Football Weekly podcast guardian · 15 Sep