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Premier League · Round 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 11:30

Arsenal
2–1
Full time
Leeds

Pre-match prediction

65%
23%
12%
Arsenal 65% Draw 23% 12% Leeds

⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

Expected goals
1.59 – 0.66
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Both teams to score
40%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-0 15% 2-0 13% 1-1 12% 0-0 12% 2-1 9%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Arsenal
65% vs 65%
Draw
23% vs 21%
Leeds
12% vs 13%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Leeds 3-4-2-1
1
Trafford GK
5.7 1509
5
Muharemović CB
6.5 1509
24
Justin CB
Goal 6.9 1550
30
Elvedi CB
1369
2
Bogle CDM
5.9 1520
3
Gudmundsson CDM
1A 7.5 1512
4
Ampadu CDM
6.6 1540
18
Stach CDM
6.3 1511
19
Okafor CAM
6.0 1535
22
Tanaka CAM
6.1 1534
9
Calvert-Lewin ST
6.1 1526
1
Raya GK
7.3 1776
4
White LB
1A 7.0 1794
6
Magalhães CB
6.3 1958
15
Konsa CB
6.9 1506
33
Calafiori RB
Goal 7.5 1625
7
Saka CDM
6.4 1848
8
Ødegaard CDM
6.5 1896
20
Madueke LW
7.2 1567
41
Rice CAM
1A 7.6 1777
49
Lewis-Skelly RW
6.7 1561
29
Havertz ST
6.2 1694
Arsenal 4-2-3-1

Arsenal · Bench

P. Hincapié, E. Eze, J. Timber, Kepa, V. Gyökeres, Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, Bruno Guimarães, M. Dowman

Leeds · Bench

S. Longstaff, H. Wilson, B. Aaronson, L. Nmecha, J. Bijol, M. Zetterer, J. Bahoya, M. Bard, I. Gruev

Arsenal · last 5 C

Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 3-0 L Sunderland (A) 0-2 W Napoli (A) 0-1 W Chelsea (H) 2-1 W Aston Villa (A) 0-1 W

Leeds · last 5 C

Crystal Palace (H) 0-0 D Crystal Palace (H) 0-0 D Newcastle United (H) 4-1 W Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 1-1 D Brentford (H) 1-1 D

Head-to-head

10 Oct 2026 Arsenal 2–1 Leeds 31 Jan 2026 Leeds 0–4 Arsenal 23 Aug 2025 Arsenal 5–0 Leeds 01 Apr 2023 Arsenal 4–1 Leeds 16 Oct 2022 Leeds 0–1 Arsenal 08 May 2022 Arsenal 2–1 Leeds 18 Dec 2021 Leeds 1–4 Arsenal 14 Feb 2021 Arsenal 4–2 Leeds 22 Nov 2020 Leeds 0–0 Arsenal

News

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