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Premier League · Round 16 · Sat 19 Dec, 15:00

Arsenal
vs
Manchester United

Prediction

60%
24%
15%
Arsenal 60% Draw 24% 15% Manchester United

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.79 – 0.83
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
49%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 2-0 12% 1-0 11% 2-1 10% 0-0 9%

Arsenal · last 5 C

Sunderland (A) 0-2 W Napoli (A) 0-1 W Chelsea (H) 2-1 W Aston Villa (A) 0-1 W Coventry (H) 3-0 W

Manchester United · last 5 B

Manchester City (H) 0-1 L Sabah FK (H) 4-0 W Everton (A) 2-2 D Ipswich (H) 5-2 W Hull (A) 2-0 L

Head-to-head

25 Jan 2026 Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United 17 Aug 2025 Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal 09 Mar 2025 Manchester United 1–1 Arsenal 04 Dec 2024 Arsenal 2–0 Manchester United 12 May 2024 Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal 03 Sep 2023 Arsenal 3–1 Manchester United 22 Jan 2023 Arsenal 3–2 Manchester United 04 Sep 2022 Manchester United 3–1 Arsenal 23 Apr 2022 Arsenal 3–1 Manchester United 02 Dec 2021 Manchester United 3–2 Arsenal

News

Junior Kroupi on Arsenal radar - Friday's gossip bbc · 17 Sep Football Daily | Michael Carrick risks untimely spell in the ‘crisis’ box seat with Manchester United guardian · 17 Sep Manchester United crisis klaxon alert and Sunderland soar | Football Weekly Extra – video guardian · 17 Sep Real Madrid leading race to sign JJ Gabriel from Manchester United guardian · 17 Sep ‘We can’t accept that’: Carrick urges Manchester United to respond after cup collapse guardian · 16 Sep Manchester United’s latest nightmare & Sunderland shine in Europe bbc · 16 Sep League Two Fleetwood host Arsenal in EFL Cup bbc · 16 Sep Arsenal rejected Dowman loan offers - Thursday's gossip bbc · 16 Sep