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Premier League · Round 16 · Sat 19 Dec, 15:00

Arsenal
vs
Manchester United

Prediction

64%
22%
14%
Arsenal 64% Draw 22% 14% Manchester United

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.87 – 0.75
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
45%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-0 13% 1-0 13% 1-1 11% 2-1 10% 0-0 8%

Arsenal · last 5 C

Slavia Praha (A) 1-2 W Liverpool (A) 0-1 W Everton (H) 2-0 W Bayern Munich (A) 2-2 D Nottingham Forest (A) 0-1 W

Manchester United · last 5 E

AS Roma (H) 3-2 W Chelsea (A) 2-0 L Bournemouth (H) 0-3 L Como (A) 4-1 L Leeds (A) 1-1 D

Head-to-head

25 Jan 2026 Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United 17 Aug 2025 Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal 09 Mar 2025 Manchester United 1–1 Arsenal 04 Dec 2024 Arsenal 2–0 Manchester United 12 May 2024 Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal 03 Sep 2023 Arsenal 3–1 Manchester United 22 Jan 2023 Arsenal 3–2 Manchester United 04 Sep 2022 Manchester United 3–1 Arsenal 23 Apr 2022 Arsenal 3–1 Manchester United 02 Dec 2021 Manchester United 3–2 Arsenal

News

Fenerbahce thwart Liverpool and Arsenal pushed in Prague: Football Weekly – podcast guardian · 05 Nov ‘In our veins’: Arsenal pushed by pain of Champions League final defeat, says Raya guardian · 05 Nov Champions League: Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal, RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City and more – as it happened guardian · 04 Nov Arsenal survive late Slavia scare for hard-fought win bbc · 04 Nov Viktor Gyökeres the difference as Arsenal claim nervy win against Slavia Prague guardian · 04 Nov Manchester United beat Roma in epic second-half comeback bbc · 04 Nov Football Daily | Manchester United’s unlikely one-match winning streak and hard-to-please fans guardian · 04 Nov Can miraculous Manchester United comeback save Michael Carrick? | Football Weekly video guardian · 04 Nov