Premier League
· Round 9 · Sat 31 Oct, 12:30
Pre-match prediction
40%
25%
35%
Chelsea 40%
Draw 25%
35% Manchester United
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.60
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Both teams to score
68%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%
2-1 9%
1-2 8%
2-2 7%
2-0 5%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Chelsea
40% vs 44%
Draw
25% vs 26%
Manchester United
35% vs 31%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
MU
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
1
Lammens GK
7.3
1608
2
Dalot LB
5.9
1473
5
Maguire CB
5.8
1652
6
Martínez CB
5.2
1488
15
Yoro RB
6.5
1414
8
Fernandes CDM
5.8
1674
10
Cunha CDM
6.1
1538
16
Diallo LW
6.3
1546
17
Santos CAM
6.2
1467
20
Baleba RW
5.7
1487
19
Mbeumo ST
6.4
1614
39
Penders GK
7.0
1492
3
Fofana CB
6.9
1501
6
Colwill CB
7.1
1579
34
Acheampong CB
7.1
1530
2
Palestra CDM
6.6
1506
7
Neto CDM
6.3
1563
10
Palmer CDM
25
Caicedo CDM
6.8
1625
41
Estêvão CAM
7.0
1498
45
Lavia CAM
1A
7.7
1524
17
Rogers ST
C
Chelsea
3-4-2-1
Chelsea · Bench
V. Barco, D. Welbeck, E. Emegha, Geovany Tcherno Quenda, M. Gusto, T. Sharman-Lowe, Pep Chavarría, M. Nicoll-Jazuli, O. Subuloye
Manchester United · Bench
N. Mazraoui, M. de Ligt, M. Mount, J. Zirkzee, K. Darlow, Y. Tielemans, A. Heaven, S. Lacey, K. Mainoo
Chelsea · last 5 E
Manchester United · last 5 E
Head-to-head
31 Oct 2026
Chelsea
2–0
Manchester United
18 Apr 2026
Chelsea
0–1
Manchester United
20 Sep 2025
Manchester United
2–1
Chelsea
16 May 2025
Chelsea
1–0
Manchester United
03 Nov 2024
Manchester United
1–1
Chelsea
04 Apr 2024
Chelsea
4–3
Manchester United
06 Dec 2023
Manchester United
2–1
Chelsea
25 May 2023
Manchester United
4–1
Chelsea
22 Oct 2022
Chelsea
1–1
Manchester United
28 Apr 2022
Manchester United
1–1
Chelsea
News
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Football Daily | Manchester United’s unlikely one-match winning streak and hard-to-please fans
guardian · 04 Nov
Can miraculous Manchester United comeback save Michael Carrick? | Football Weekly video
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Manchester United’s wild win against Roma showed angry fans we care, says Dalot
guardian · 04 Nov
How Carpenter has become Chelsea's surprise star
bbc · 04 Nov
Mainoo and Lacey raise the spirits but systemic change still required at Manchester United | Nick Ames
guardian · 03 Nov
Manchester United 3-2 Roma: Champions League – as it happened
guardian · 03 Nov
Manchester United produce comeback for the ages as Cunha double floors Roma
guardian · 03 Nov