Premier League
· Round 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
40%
26%
33%
Chelsea 40%
Draw 26%
33% Bournemouth
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.52
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Both teams to score
65%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%
2-1 9%
1-2 8%
2-2 7%
2-0 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Chelsea
40% vs 52%
Draw
26% vs 24%
Bournemouth
33% vs 24%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
B
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1
1
Petrović GK
5.8
1571
3
Truffert LB
6.0
1582
5
Hill CB
5.7
1604
14
Silva CB
5.7
1506
15
Smith RB
5.3
1543
7
Brooks CDM
6.1
1471
10
Christie CDM
6.4
1578
12
Adams LW
6.2
1574
16
Tavernier CAM
5.6
1558
37
Rayan RW
5.9
1558
9
Evanilson ST
1
Martínez GK
1642
5
Lacroix CB
6.7
1529
6
Colwill CB
6.9
1579
34
Acheampong CB
6.2
1530
7
Neto LM
1A
6.8
1563
14
Henderson CM
25
Caicedo CM
6.7
1625
29
Chavarría RM
1A
7.6
1505
9
Pedro LW
10
Palmer ST
1A
7.0
1600
17
Rogers RW
C
Chelsea
3-4-3
Chelsea · Bench
M. Palestra, W. Fofana, D. Welbeck, J. Hato, Geovany Tcherno Quenda, M. Gusto, M. Penders, Estêvão, R. Lavia
Bournemouth · Bench
L. Cook, J. Soler, B. Doak, B. Diakité, M. Di Gregorio, Juanlu Sánchez, A. Tóth, D. Jebbison, Á. Rodríguez
Chelsea · last 5 D
Bournemouth · last 5 C
Head-to-head
10 Oct 2026
Chelsea
5–1
Bournemouth
30 Dec 2025
Chelsea
2–2
Bournemouth
06 Dec 2025
Bournemouth
0–0
Chelsea
14 Jan 2025
Chelsea
2–2
Bournemouth
14 Sep 2024
Bournemouth
0–1
Chelsea
19 May 2024
Chelsea
2–1
Bournemouth
17 Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0–0
Chelsea
06 May 2023
Bournemouth
1–3
Chelsea
27 Dec 2022
Chelsea
2–0
Bournemouth
29 Feb 2020
Bournemouth
2–2
Chelsea
News
Bournemouth’s decision not to panic after their tough start is paying off
guardian · 04 Nov
How Carpenter has become Chelsea's surprise star
bbc · 04 Nov
Chelsea put six past Charlton to top WSL
bbc · 01 Nov
Chelsea beat 10-man Man Utd to pile more pressure on Carrick
bbc · 31 Oct
Evanilson scores again as Bournemouth beat Leeds
bbc · 31 Oct
Manchester United’s capitulation at Chelsea paints picture of a club that barely exists | Barney Ronay
guardian · 31 Oct
Evanilson profits from costly Trafford blunder as Bournemouth punish Leeds
guardian · 31 Oct
Returning Estevao brings X-factor to strikerless Chelsea
bbc · 31 Oct