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Premier League · Round 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 11:30

Everton
0–2
Full time
Chelsea

Pre-match prediction

39%
28%
33%
Everton 39% Draw 28% 33% Chelsea

⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

Expected goals
1.49 – 1.40
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
60%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 2-1 9% 1-2 8% 0-0 7% 1-0 7%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Everton
39% vs 33%
Draw
28% vs 27%
Chelsea
33% vs 40%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Chelsea 3-4-2-1
1
Martínez GK
1642
5
Lacroix CB
7.6 1529
6
Colwill CB
7.1 1579
34
Acheampong CB
7.0 1530
7
Neto CDM
Goal2 9.7 1563
10
Palmer CDM
7.3 1600
14
Henderson CDM
7.1 1483
17
Rogers CDM
6.8 1536
21
Hato CAM
7.5 1463
25
Caicedo CAM
7.2 1625
9
Pedro ST
6.4 1553
1
Pickford GK
6.6 1422
2
Maitland-Niles LB
4
Branthwaite CB
6.6 1533
6
Tarkowski CB
5.9 1506
16
Mykolenko RB
7.0 1519
8
Dewsbury-Hall CDM
6.4 1507
10
Grealish CDM
1807
34
Röhl LW
6.3 1502
37
Garner CAM
6.5 1571
45
Armstrong RW
5.7 1518
11
Barry ST
6.4 1510
Everton 4-2-3-1

Everton · Bench

M. Travers, J. O'Brien, Tyrique George, T. Dibling, B. Johnson, C. Nørgaard, C. Alcaraz, H. Hackney, B. Graham

Chelsea · Bench

M. Palestra, W. Fofana, V. Barco, D. Welbeck, Geovany Tcherno Quenda, M. Nicoll-Jazuli, M. Penders, Estêvão, R. Lavia

Everton · last 5 C

Hull (A) 2-2 D Ipswich (H) 1-0 W Tottenham Hotspur (A) 0-0 D Manchester United (H) 2-2 D Bournemouth (A) 1-1 D

Chelsea · last 5 C

Bournemouth (H) 5-1 W Brentford (A) 3-0 L Hull (H) 2-2 D Arsenal (A) 2-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 4-3 W

Head-to-head

17 Oct 2026 Everton 0–2 Chelsea 21 Mar 2026 Everton 3–0 Chelsea 13 Dec 2025 Chelsea 2–0 Everton 26 Apr 2025 Chelsea 1–0 Everton 22 Dec 2024 Everton 0–0 Chelsea 15 Apr 2024 Chelsea 6–0 Everton 10 Dec 2023 Everton 2–0 Chelsea 18 Mar 2023 Chelsea 2–2 Everton 06 Aug 2022 Everton 0–1 Chelsea 01 May 2022 Everton 1–0 Chelsea

News

How landmark Everton compensation prevented Burnley record loss bbc · 04 Nov How Carpenter has become Chelsea's surprise star bbc · 04 Nov From nightmare debut season to Everton hero - Barry's revival bbc · 02 Nov Grealish can still have Everton future - Moyes bbc · 02 Nov Everton hold off Newcastle to move into seventh bbc · 02 Nov Newcastle United 0-1 Everton: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 02 Nov Newcastle unrest grows as Barry and Everton give Jaissle another headache guardian · 02 Nov Jack Grealish left out of Everton squad again for Premier League trip to Newcastle guardian · 02 Nov