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Premier League · Round 21 · Sat 16 Jan, 15:00

Manchester City
vs
Nottingham Forest

Prediction

61%
24%
15%
Manchester City 61% Draw 24% 15% Nottingham Forest

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.83 – 0.82
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
48%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 2-0 12% 1-0 11% 2-1 10% 0-0 9%

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Nottingham Forest · last 5

Aston Villa (A) 1-2 W Tottenham Hotspur (H) 0-0 D Liverpool (A) 2-2 D Leeds (H) 0-1 L Bournemouth (H) 1-1 D

Head-to-head

04 Mar 2026 Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest 27 Dec 2025 Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City 08 Mar 2025 Nottingham Forest 1–0 Manchester City 04 Dec 2024 Manchester City 3–0 Nottingham Forest 28 Apr 2024 Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City 23 Sep 2023 Manchester City 2–0 Nottingham Forest 18 Feb 2023 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Manchester City 31 Aug 2022 Manchester City 6–0 Nottingham Forest

News

Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 13 Sep Manchester City recover from Foden red card as Haaland wins derby at United guardian · 13 Sep All change for Maresca: the data behind Manchester City’s rapid player turnover guardian · 12 Sep Chelsea hand Pedro Neto new deal in wake of his rejecting Manchester City guardian · 11 Sep Haaland strikes twice as Manchester City secure win at Porto bbc · 09 Sep Rosario ‘grabbed my bottom’ during Manchester City’s win at Porto, claims Haaland guardian · 09 Sep