Premier League
· Round 5 · Sat 19 Sep, 16:30
Pre-match prediction
67%
21%
Nottingham Forest 67%
Draw 21%
11% Coventry
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.68
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
44%
Model confidence
low
Most likely scorelines
2-0 14%
1-0 12%
1-1 11%
2-1 9%
3-0 9%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Nottingham Forest
67% vs 58%
Draw
21% vs 24%
Coventry
11% vs 18%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
C
Coventry
3-4-2-1
19
Rushworth GK
1A
6.9
1466
2
Pinnock CB
1476
4
Thomas CB
7.2
1461
12
Mfuni CB
1507
3
Dasilva CDM
5
Rudoni CDM
6.5
1476
6
Grimes CDM
6.7
1457
8
Yirenkyi CDM
6.7
1499
10
Mason-Clark CAM
6.9
1484
16
Onyeka CAM
6.3
1480
23
Thomas-Asante ST
6.6
1494
26
Sels GK
6.1
1572
2
Diomande CB
6.3
1484
5
Murillo CB
7.4
1482
23
Jair CB
6.2
1479
3
Williams CDM
6.9
1415
10
Gibbs-White CDM
7.2
1423
14
Ndoye CDM
6.5
1462
21
Schlager CDM
6.5
1480
24
McAtee CAM
6.6
1458
27
Muñoz CAM
1619
19
Delap ST
6.4
1508
NF
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1
Nottingham Forest · Bench
I. Sangaré, C. Hudson-Odoi, N. Domínguez, C. Wood, Igor Jesus, John, R. Yates, L. Netz, O. Aina
Coventry · Bench
T. Sakamoto, E. Simms, L. Tchaouna, J. Latibeaudiere, D. Bentley, V. Torp, Y. Gboho, G. Hamer, S. Cherif
Nottingham Forest · last 5
Head-to-head
News
Coventry, Ipswich, Hull - promoted trio enjoy positive starts
bbc · 31 Oct
Coventry out of bottom three with win over struggling Sunderland
bbc · 31 Oct
Keith Andrews - post-match interview - Brentford v Nottingham Forest
bbc · 31 Oct
Manchester City 0-1 Brighton, Coventry 3-1 Sunderland and more: clockwatch - as it happened
guardian · 31 Oct
Sakamoto sparks Coventry win to keep 10-man Sunderland rock-bottom
guardian · 31 Oct
‘There’s a new chapter to write’: Le Bris upbeat as Sunderland eye Coventry reunion
guardian · 30 Oct
Bobb's late strike secures Fulham win at Coventry
bbc · 24 Oct
Arsenal 2-0 Everton, Coventry 0-1 Fulham: football clockwatch – as it happened
guardian · 24 Oct