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Premier League · Round 38 · Sun 30 May, 15:00

Sunderland
vs
Manchester City

Prediction

17%
27%
56%
Sunderland 17% Draw 27% 56% Manchester City

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
0.78 – 1.58
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Both teams to score
45%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 0-1 13% 0-2 12% 0-0 11% 1-2 9%

Sunderland · last 5 B

AZ Alkmaar (H) 1-0 W Arsenal (H) 0-2 L Brentford (A) 1-1 D Fulham (H) 1-0 W Ipswich (A) 2-1 L

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

01 Jan 2026 Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City 06 Dec 2025 Manchester City 3–0 Sunderland

News

Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Manchester United crisis klaxon alert and Sunderland soar | Football Weekly Extra – video guardian · 17 Sep Manchester United’s latest nightmare & Sunderland shine in Europe bbc · 16 Sep Enzo Le Fée makes amends from the spot as Sunderland overcome AZ guardian · 16 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep Xhaka promises ‘fire’ from Sunderland on long-awaited return to Europe guardian · 16 Sep Haaland goal should not have stood but VAR made the right call with Sunderland penalty | Chris Foy guardian · 14 Sep Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 13 Sep