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Serie A · Round 5 · Sun 20 Sep, 18:45

AC Milan
3–0
Full time
Lecce

Pre-match prediction

63%
22%
15%
AC Milan 63% Draw 22% 15% Lecce

✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Expected goals
1.62 – 0.69
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Both teams to score
40%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-0 16% 2-0 13% 1-1 11% 0-0 10% 2-1 9%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

AC Milan
63% vs 77%
Draw
22% vs 15%
Lecce
15% vs 8%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Lecce 4-3-3
30
Falcone GK
6.2 1228
4
Gaspar LB
6.3 1464
5
Siebert CB
6.6 1432
17
Veiga CB
5.9 1444
25
Gallo RB
6.5 1368
14
Maleh CM
6.3 1430
20
Ilić CM
1528
29
Coulibaly CM
6.5 1478
9
Štulić LW
6.7 1445
50
Pierotti ST
6.2 1439
99
Monteiro RW
1476
16
Maignan GK
7.7 1803
5
Winter CB
6.3 1573
31
Pavlović CB
1A 7.9 1571
34
Gila CB
7.2 1548
2
Estupiñán LM
6.9 1527
12
Rabiot CM
Goal 8.3 1615
14
Modrić CM
7.2 1622
21
Chukwueze RM
6.3 1544
9
Ramos LW
1A 6.3 1548
11
Pulišić ST
Goal 8.9 1621
56
Saelemaekers RW
7.7 1674
AC Milan 3-4-2-1

AC Milan · Bench

Pietro Terracciano, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Sankhoun Diawara, Omari Hutchinson, Diego Moreira, Fikayo Tomori, Christian Comotto, Ardon Jashari, Davide Bartesaghi, Filippo Terracciano, Matteo Gabbia, Alphadjo Cissè, Francesco Camarda, Yunus Musah, Lorenzo Torriani

Lecce · Bench

Marco Bleve, Ali Dembélé, Corrie Ndaba, Amar Fatah, Sadik Fofana, Konan N'Dri, Gaby Jean, Paco Esteban, Olaf Gorter, Elijah Scott, Alexandru Borbei, Mohamed Kaba, Oumar Ngom

AC Milan · last 5 C

Benfica (H) 0-2 L Lazio (A) 2-2 D Lazio (A) 2-2 D Juventus (A) 1-1 D Venezia (H) 2-0 W

Lecce · last 5

Monza (H) 3-2 W Cagliari (A) 1-0 L AS Roma (H) 0-4 L Venezia (A) 0-2 W Genoa (H) 1-0 W

Head-to-head

20 Sep 2026 AC Milan 3–0 Lecce 18 Jan 2026 AC Milan 1–0 Lecce 29 Aug 2025 Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 08 Mar 2025 Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 27 Sep 2024 AC Milan 3–0 Lecce 06 Apr 2024 AC Milan 3–0 Lecce 11 Nov 2023 Lecce 2–2 AC Milan 23 Apr 2023 AC Milan 2–0 Lecce 14 Jan 2023 Lecce 2–2 AC Milan 22 Jun 2020 Lecce 1–4 AC Milan

News

AC Milan score three first-half goals to seal derby victory over Inter bbc · 31 Oct 'We fell behind' - what does new San Siro deal mean for AC Milan and Inter? bbc · 31 Oct AC Milan v Inter and the tale of an iconic image bbc · 31 Oct