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La Liga · Round 5 · Sat 12 Sep, 12:00

Pre-match prediction

43%
24%
33%
Racing Santander 43% Draw 24% 33% Deportivo Alaves

Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals
1.78 – 1.49
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
64%
Model confidence
low

Most likely scorelines

1-1 10% 2-1 9% 1-2 8% 1-0 7% 2-2 7%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Racing Santander
43% vs 36%
Draw
24% vs 27%
Deportivo Alaves
33% vs 36%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Deportivo Alaves 4-4-2
1
Sivera GK
5.9 1394
7
Pérez LB
5.5 1503
14
Tenaglia CB
6.1 1418
16
Koski CB
Goal 6.9 1520
17
Jonny RB
7.1 1495
4
Suárez CM
6.3 1407
8
Blanco CM
5.7 1421
19
Ibáñez CM
5.7 1514
9
Díaz LW
6.2 1529
15
Boyé ST
6.5 1478
21
Rebbach RW
6.6 1476
13
Agirrezabala GK
8.8 1497
2
Mantilla LB
6.3 1497
5
Ramón CB
6.4 1495
17
Salinas CB
6.1 1497
24
Belocian RB
18
Prati CM
1426
20
Canales CM
6.3 1498
23
Martín CM
1539
10
Vicente LW
1A 7.1 1495
15
García ST
1509
21
Zabiri RW
Goal2 9.0 1500
RS Racing Santander 4-2-3-1

Racing Santander · Bench

Aarón Martín, Manu Hernando, Íñigo Sainz-Maza, G. Guliashvili, André Almeida, Juan Carlos Arana, Asier Villalibre, M. Gueye, Facundo González, Iker Luque, Pedro Felipe, Laro Gómez

Deportivo Alaves · Bench

N. Valentini, Yusi, Guevara, Carles Aleñá, Toni Martínez, Hugo Novoa, A. Giménez, Aitor Mañas, Miguel Rodríguez, C. Benavídez, Selu Diallo, X. Olaiz

Head-to-head

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