La Liga
· Round 5 · Sat 12 Sep, 16:30
Pre-match prediction
54%
24%
22%
Athletic Bilbao 54%
Draw 24%
22% Elche
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.03
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
54%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%
1-0 11%
2-1 10%
2-0 10%
0-1 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Athletic Bilbao
54% vs 68%
Draw
24% vs 20%
Elche
22% vs 13%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
E
Elche
3-4-3
1
Dituro GK
6.2
1482
2
Sangaré CB
6.5
1468
5
Redondo CB
6.8
1479
23
Chust CB
6.4
1429
3
Revivo LM
12
Villar CM
6.6
1485
20
Morente CM
6.3
1365
47
Morcillo RM
6.7
1490
10
Buonanotte LW
6.5
1486
11
Valera ST
6.1
1429
14
Niño RW
6.3
1476
1
Simón GK
6.5
1513
5
Yeray LB
6.8
1477
12
Areso CB
6.3
1446
14
Laporte CB
6.7
1441
17
Yuri RB
6.7
1479
8
Sancet CDM
7.1
1496
10
Williams CDM
7.1
1569
16
de Galarreta LW
6.6
1562
23
Navarro CAM
6.8
1461
24
Gerenabarrena RW
6.4
1516
9
Williams ST
7.6
1553
AB
Athletic Bilbao
4-2-3-1
Athletic Bilbao · Bench
Aitor Paredes, Beñat Prados, Álex Berenguer, Álex Padilla, Hugo Rincón, Mikel Jauregizar, Alejandro Rego, Maroan Sannadi, Nico Serrano, Álvaro Djaló, Iker Monreal, J. Louis-Jean
Elche · Bench
Bigas, Marc Aguado, E. Ponce, Alejandro Iturbe, Martim Neto, Josan, T. Lemar, G. Diangana, L. Cepeda, Rubén Sánchez, A. Osorio, Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
Athletic Bilbao · last 5 D
Head-to-head
12 Sep 2026
Athletic Bilbao
1–1
Elche
20 Feb 2026
Athletic Bilbao
2–1
Elche
19 Oct 2025
Elche
0–0
Athletic Bilbao
28 May 2023
Athletic Bilbao
0–1
Elche
11 Sep 2022
Elche
1–4
Athletic Bilbao
03 Apr 2022
Athletic Bilbao
2–1
Elche
16 Aug 2021
Elche
0–0
Athletic Bilbao
22 May 2021
Elche
2–0
Athletic Bilbao
03 Jan 2021
Athletic Bilbao
1–0
Elche