Live now

La Liga · Round 5 · Sun 13 Sep, 12:00

Pre-match prediction

63%
22%
15%
Celta Vigo 63% Draw 22% 15% Malaga

Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals
1.75 – 0.69
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
41%
Model confidence
low

Most likely scorelines

1-0 15% 2-0 13% 1-1 11% 2-1 9% 0-0 9%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Celta Vigo
63% vs 56%
Draw
22% vs 26%
Malaga
15% vs 18%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Malaga 4-4-2
1
Herrero GK
7.4 1465
4
Galilea LB
6.2 1466
12
Salinas CB
6.9 1487
15
Recio CB
6.8 1465
31
Rafita RB
6.6 1475
10
Larrubia LM
6.5 1467
11
Muñoz CM
6.0 1483
18
Martínez CM
1A 7.7 1480
23
Merino RM
6.5 1472
9
Chupe ST
5.9 1465
22
Lorenzo ST
6.4 1482
13
Radu GK
6.6 1514
3
Alonso CB
7.0 1559
18
Lago CB
6.3 1452
21
Cáceres CB
5
Carreira LM
6.4 1517
6
Moriba CM
7.1 1551
8
Román CM
6.7 1519
17
Rueda RM
6.7 1486
9
Jutglà LW
Goal 8.2 1486
16
González ST
1A 7.5 1488
23
Álvarez RW
6.4 1476
Celta Vigo 3-4-3

Celta Vigo · Bench

A. Bayındır, C. Starfelt, A. Faye, Iago Aspas, Pablo Durán, Álvaro Núñez, W. Swedberg, Javi Rodríguez, Javi Galán, C. Driouech, Iván Villar, H. Burcio

Malaga · Bench

J. Cajuste, Puga, Ramón Enríquez, Carlos López, Rafa Rodríguez, Eneko Jauregi, Juan Cruz, Adrián Niño Heredia, Juan Berrocal, J. Fernandez

Head-to-head

News