La Liga
· Round 5 · Sun 13 Sep, 19:00
Pre-match prediction
29%
21%
50%
Real Sociedad 29%
Draw 21%
50% Atletico Madrid
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.52
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
61%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%
2-1 8%
1-2 8%
1-0 7%
0-1 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Real Sociedad
29% vs 28%
Draw
21% vs 26%
Atletico Madrid
50% vs 45%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
AM
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2
13
Oblak GK
7.1
1826
14
Llorente LB
6.9
1746
17
Hancko CB
1A
6.9
1580
18
Pubill CB
7.5
1558
21
Romero RB
7.8
1530
10
Baena LM
7.2
1515
20
Simeone CM
22
Grimaldo CM
23
Hjulmand RM
7.2
1552
7
Kang-In ST
6.3
1509
11
Lookman ST
6.3
1514
1
Remiro GK
6.0
1541
2
Aramburu LB
6.7
1428
17
Gómez CB
6.5
1423
19
Sarr CB
1503
34
Beitia RB
6.9
1475
7
Barrenetxea CDM
6.4
1409
11
Guedes CDM
5.8
1517
18
Soler LW
6.3
1517
21
Herrera CAM
6.2
1514
24
Sučić RW
6.1
1468
10
Oyarzabal ST
6.5
1540
RS
Real Sociedad
4-2-3-1
Real Sociedad · Bench
Aihen Muñoz, Jon Gorrotxategi, Beñat Turrientes, O. Óskarsson, J. Ochieng, Unai Marrero, T. Kubo, Jon Pacheco, Héctor Fort, A. Zakharyan, Gorka Carrera, Alex Garcia
Atletico Madrid · Bench
J. Musso, O. Vargas, Rodrigo Mendoza, J. Cardoso, Koke, J. David, Arnau Ortiz, Robin Le Normand, Salvador Esquivel, J. Dominguez, Dani MartÃnez, Javier Gil
Real Sociedad · last 5 C
Atletico Madrid · last 5 C
Head-to-head
13 Sep 2026
Real Sociedad
0–3
Atletico Madrid
13 Sep 2026
Real Sociedad
0–3
Atletico Madrid
07 Mar 2026
Atletico Madrid
3–2
Real Sociedad
04 Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
1–1
Atletico Madrid
10 May 2025
Atletico Madrid
4–0
Real Sociedad
06 Oct 2024
Real Sociedad
1–1
Atletico Madrid
25 May 2024
Real Sociedad
0–2
Atletico Madrid
08 Oct 2023
Atletico Madrid
2–1
Real Sociedad
28 May 2023
Atletico Madrid
2–1
Real Sociedad
03 Sep 2022
Real Sociedad
1–1
Atletico Madrid