Ligue 1
· Round 5 · Sat 19 Sep, 18:45
Pre-match prediction
34%
26%
40%
Le Mans 34%
Draw 26%
40% Lorient
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.53
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
62%
Model confidence
low
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%
2-1 8%
1-2 8%
2-2 6%
1-0 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Le Mans
34% vs 33%
Draw
26% vs 29%
Lorient
40% vs 38%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
L
Lorient
3-4-2-1
38
Mvogo GK
6.7
1483
3
Talbi CB
6.6
1483
20
Sylla CB
6.5
1483
32
Adjei CB
6.7
1484
8
Cadiou CDM
6.2
1487
17
Makengo CDM
5.9
1489
33
Bernardeau CDM
6.0
1499
43
Kouassi CDM
1A
6.3
1483
62
Avom CAM
6.6
1476
77
Katseris CAM
6.3
1504
18
Baldé ST
98
Kocik GK
6.2
1456
5
Voyer CB
7.1
1470
17
Yohou CB
7.0
1464
19
Sidibé CB
1502
10
Vercruysse CDM
6.6
1470
11
Bourabaa LM
7.7
1497
26
Bamba CAM
1A
6.8
1489
29
Bretelle CAM
76
Larouci RM
6.7
1484
13
Diallo ST
1496
14
Mafouta ST
6.4
1461
LM
Le Mans
3-1-4-2
Le Mans · Bench
E. Hatfout, B. Brahimi, A. Lauray, A. Rabillard, N. Boissé, Raúl Torrente, L. Calodat, D. Traoré, D. Guèye
Lorient · Bench
A. Georgen, I. Jensen, T. Le Bris, S. Faye, B. Kamara, S. Kuzmić, M. Kone, N. Obaretin, S. Touré
Le Mans · last 5 C
Lorient · last 5 D
News
No recent news mentioning either team in our sources.