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Primeira Liga · Round 6 · Sat 12 Sep, 14:30

Nacional
1–3
Full time
Alverca

Pre-match prediction

46%
26%
28%
Nacional 46% Draw 26% 28% Alverca

ℹPlayer-based sharpening isn't available for this competition yet.

Expected goals
1.38 – 1.04
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
48%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-0 13% 1-1 12% 0-1 10% 2-1 9% 2-0 8%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Nacional
46% vs 34%
Draw
26% vs 29%
Alverca
28% vs 38%

Nacional · last 5 A

Sporting CP (A) 2-0 L Estrela (H) 2-3 L Vitória Guimarães (A) 1-0 L Estoril (H) 2-0 W Santa Clara (A) 2-2 D

Alverca · last 5 D

Sporting Braga (H) 1-2 L Santa Clara (H) 1-1 D Sporting CP (A) 3-1 L Estrela (H) 2-2 D Porto (A) 2-0 L

Head-to-head

12 Sep 2026 Nacional 1–3 Alverca 18 Apr 2026 Nacional 1–0 Alverca 07 Dec 2025 Alverca 1–0 Nacional

News

No recent news mentioning either team in our sources.