Bundesliga
· Round 6 · Sat 17 Oct, 16:30
Pre-match prediction
72%
15%
13%
Bayern Munich 72%
Draw 15%
13% RB Leipzig
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
2.80 – 1.24
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Both teams to score
66%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
2-1 9%
3-1 8%
2-0 7%
3-0 6%
1-1 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Bayern Munich
72% vs 77%
Draw
15% vs 13%
RB Leipzig
13% vs 10%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
RL
RB Leipzig
4-5-1
26
Vandevoordt GK
7.5
1525
4
Orbán LB
6.0
1729
16
Klostermann CB
5.5
1642
22
Raum CB
6.1
1607
23
Lukeba RB
5.7
1615
20
Reitz CM
5.8
1533
21
Aynaoui CM
1560
6
Banzuzi ST
5.6
1529
7
Nusa ST
6.0
1533
10
Gruda ST
1A
6.9
1520
28
Nkunku ST
1529
40
Urbig GK
6.9
1535
2
Upamecano CB
7.3
1701
3
Min-Jae CB
7.1
1641
11
Brown CB
1A
7.5
1536
6
Kimmich CDM
1A
7.7
1887
17
Olise CDM
27
Laimer LW
6.8
1557
34
Saibari CAM
6.6
1523
45
Pavlović RW
9
Kane ST
14
Díaz ST
BM
Bayern Munich
4-2-3-1
Bayern Munich · Bench
J. Tah, S. Gnabry, T. Bischof, A. Davies, H. Ito, S. Boey, S. Ulreich, L. Karl, J. Stanišić
RB Leipzig · Bench
Ø. Nyland, M. Estève, N. Seiwald, R. Baku, T. Gomis, A. MaksimoviÄ, Max Finkgräfe, B. Henrichs, Rômulo
Bayern Munich · last 5 D
Head-to-head
17 Oct 2026
Bayern Munich
6–1
RB Leipzig
17 Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
1–5
Bayern Munich
22 Aug 2025
Bayern Munich
6–0
RB Leipzig
03 May 2025
RB Leipzig
3–3
Bayern Munich
20 Dec 2024
Bayern Munich
5–1
RB Leipzig
24 Feb 2024
Bayern Munich
2–1
RB Leipzig
30 Sep 2023
RB Leipzig
2–2
Bayern Munich
20 May 2023
Bayern Munich
1–3
RB Leipzig
20 Jan 2023
RB Leipzig
1–1
Bayern Munich
05 Feb 2022
Bayern Munich
3–2
RB Leipzig
News
Champions League: Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal, RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City and more – as it happened
guardian · 04 Nov
Erling Haaland settles thriller for Manchester City to end RB Leipzig resistance
guardian · 04 Nov
Lennart Karl steals in behind Atlético Madrid to inspire Bayern Munich win
guardian · 03 Nov
Harry Kane’s Ballon d’Or party gives way to anxiety-filled hangover for Bayern Munich | Andy Brassell
guardian · 02 Nov
Vincent Kompany to miss ‘weeks, not days’ with virus treatment, say Bayern Munich
guardian · 24 Oct