Hull vs Leeds · Xpected

Premier League · Round 18 · Wed 30 Dec, 20:00

Hull

Leeds

Prediction

26%

28%

46%

Hull 26% Draw 28% 46% Leeds

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals

1.17 – 1.33

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Both teams to score

52%

Model confidence

low

Most likely scorelines

1-1 15% 0-0 10% 0-1 9% 1-2 8% 1-0 8%

Hull · last 5

Chelsea (A) 2-2 D Aston Villa (H) 0-0 D Coventry (A) 0-1 W Manchester United (H) 2-0 W

Leeds · last 5

Newcastle United (H) 4-1 W Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 1-1 D Brentford (H) 1-1 D Nottingham Forest (A) 0-1 W West Ham United (A) 3-0 L

Head-to-head

These teams haven't met in our data.

News

Hull City’s rise from Championship strugglers to Premier League fliers guardian · 17 Sep A team in form - how Farke has turned Leeds around bbc · 15 Sep Newcastle couldn't match the physicality of Leeds - Jaissle bbc · 14 Sep Farke 'very happy' with dominant Leeds performance bbc · 14 Sep Leeds inflict heavy defeat on Newcastle to climb to third bbc · 14 Sep Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 14 Sep Calvert-Lewin shows the way as Leeds thrash limp Newcastle and rise to third guardian · 14 Sep Calvert-Lewin stars but Botman struggles - player ratings for Leeds v Newcastle bbc · 14 Sep