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Premier League · Round 20 · Wed 06 Jan, 20:00

Leeds
vs
Manchester City

Prediction

23%
28%
50%
Leeds 23% Draw 28% 50% Manchester City

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
0.99 – 1.59
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
52%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14% 0-1 10% 0-2 10% 1-2 9% 0-0 9%

Leeds · last 5

Newcastle United (H) 4-1 W Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 1-1 D Brentford (H) 1-1 D Nottingham Forest (A) 0-1 W West Ham United (A) 3-0 L

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

28 Feb 2026 Leeds 0–1 Manchester City 29 Nov 2025 Manchester City 3–2 Leeds 06 May 2023 Manchester City 2–1 Leeds 28 Dec 2022 Leeds 1–3 Manchester City 30 Apr 2022 Leeds 0–4 Manchester City 14 Dec 2021 Manchester City 7–0 Leeds 10 Apr 2021 Manchester City 1–2 Leeds 03 Oct 2020 Leeds 1–1 Manchester City

News

Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep A team in form - how Farke has turned Leeds around bbc · 15 Sep Newcastle couldn't match the physicality of Leeds - Jaissle bbc · 14 Sep Farke 'very happy' with dominant Leeds performance bbc · 14 Sep Leeds inflict heavy defeat on Newcastle to climb to third bbc · 14 Sep Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 14 Sep Calvert-Lewin shows the way as Leeds thrash limp Newcastle and rise to third guardian · 14 Sep