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La Liga · Round 30 · Sun 04 Apr, 00:00

Real Madrid
vs
Atletico Madrid

Prediction

54%
24%
22%
Real Madrid 54% Draw 24% 22% Atletico Madrid

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.68 – 1.04
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
53%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 1-0 11% 2-1 10% 2-0 9% 0-0 7%

Real Madrid · last 5 B

AEK Athens FC (A) 2-3 W Racing Santander (A) 0-3 W Barcelona (A) 1-2 W Barcelona (A) 1-2 W RB Leipzig (H) 4-1 W

Atletico Madrid · last 5 D

Bayern Munich (H) 0-2 L Levante (A) 0-2 W Levante (A) 0-2 W Deportivo La Coruna (H) 1-0 W VfB Stuttgart (A) 1-1 D

Head-to-head

20 Sep 2026 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid 20 Sep 2026 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid 22 Mar 2026 Real Madrid 3–2 Atletico Madrid 27 Sep 2025 Atletico Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid 12 Mar 2025 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Real Madrid 04 Mar 2025 Real Madrid 2–1 Atletico Madrid 08 Feb 2025 Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid 29 Sep 2024 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid 04 Feb 2024 Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid 24 Sep 2023 Atletico Madrid 3–1 Real Madrid

News

Champions League: Como clobber Lens 9-1 after Real Madrid roar back to deny AEK Athens guardian · 04 Nov Nadal set to join Real Madrid board of directors bbc · 04 Nov Real Madrid reach verbal agreement to sign Gabriel bbc · 04 Nov Lennart Karl steals in behind Atlético Madrid to inspire Bayern Munich win guardian · 03 Nov European football: Mbappé penalty helps Real Madrid stroll to sixth straight win guardian · 01 Nov Bellingham & Mbappe score as Real Madrid earn statement win bbc · 01 Nov Mourinho and chaos - is Real Madrid boss misunderstood? bbc · 29 Oct Barcelona fined £503 over their approach for Atlético Madrid star Álvarez guardian · 27 Oct