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La Liga · Round 7 · Sun 20 Sep, 00:00

Atletico Madrid
vs
Real Madrid

Prediction

37%
25%
38%
Atletico Madrid 37% Draw 25% 38% Real Madrid

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.53 – 1.50
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
61%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 11% 2-1 8% 1-2 8% 1-0 8% 0-1 7%

Atletico Madrid · last 5 D

Osasuna (H) 4-0 W Osasuna (H) 4-0 W Real Sociedad (A) 0-3 W Real Sociedad (A) 0-3 W Liverpool (A) 2-1 L

Real Madrid · last 5 D

Elche (A) 2-3 W Elche (A) 2-3 W Rayo Vallecano (H) 4-1 W Rayo Vallecano (H) 4-1 W Inter Milan (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

22 Mar 2026 Real Madrid 3–2 Atletico Madrid 27 Sep 2025 Atletico Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid 12 Mar 2025 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Real Madrid 04 Mar 2025 Real Madrid 2–1 Atletico Madrid 08 Feb 2025 Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid 29 Sep 2024 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid 04 Feb 2024 Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid 24 Sep 2023 Atletico Madrid 3–1 Real Madrid 25 Feb 2023 Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid 18 Sep 2022 Atletico Madrid 1–2 Real Madrid

News

Carlos Espí gives Real Madrid hope in the face of Barcelona’s La Liga storm | Sid Lowe guardian · 17 Sep Real Madrid leading race to sign JJ Gabriel from Manchester United guardian · 17 Sep Real Madrid keen on Man Utd forward Gabriel, 15 bbc · 17 Sep Chelsea and Real Madrid keen on Arsenal's Zubimendi - Friday's gossip bbc · 10 Sep Chelsea 6-3 Leeds; Liverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid, PSG 6-1 Slovan Bratislava – as it happened guardian · 09 Sep Liverpool come from behind to beat Atletico Madrid bbc · 09 Sep Mbappe and Valverde strike as Real Madrid edge Inter Milan bbc · 09 Sep Real Madrid 2-1 Inter, Millwall 0-1 Newcastle: Champions League and Carabao Cup – as it happened guardian · 08 Sep