Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

La Liga · Round 7 · Sun 20 Sep, 14:15

Atletico Madrid

2–1

Full time

Real Madrid

Pre-match prediction

37%

25%

38%

Atletico Madrid 37% Draw 25% 38% Real Madrid

✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.52

Over 2.5 goals

59%

Both teams to score

61%

Model confidence

normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 11% 2-1 8% 1-2 8% 1-0 7% 0-1 7%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Atletico Madrid

37% vs 27%

Draw

25% vs 25%

Real Madrid

38% vs 48%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

Courtois GK

6.7 1929

Huijsen LB

5.8 1616

Konaté CB

6.4 1537

Cucurella CB

6.8 1559

Dumfries RB

5.3 1517

Bellingham CDM

6.6 1688

Júnior CDM

6.2 1839

Valverde LW

6.5 2001

Tchouaméni CAM

6.5 1746

Güler RW

6.2 1633

Mbappé ST

6.4 1619

Oblak GK

6.7 1826

Llorente LB

7.2 1746

Hancko CB

7.5 1580

Pubill CB

6.2 1558

Romero RB

6.6 1530

Cardoso LM

6.6 1497

Baena CM

6.5 1515

Simeone CM

1A 7.0 1604

Grimaldo RM

7.0 1551

Kang-In ST

6.0 1509

David ST

1545

Atletico Madrid 4-4-2

Atletico Madrid · Bench

J. Musso, O. Vargas, Rodrigo Mendoza, Koke, A. Lookman, Arnau Ortiz, J. Álvarez, M. Hjulmand, Robin Le Normand, J. Dominguez, Dani MartÃnez, J. Castillo

Real Madrid · Bench

Raúl Asencio, E. Camavinga, Endrick, T. Alexander-Arnold, A. Lunin, Álvaro Fernández, Carlos Espí, Bernardo Silva, Brahim Díaz, A. Rüdiger, Y. Diomande, Thiago Pitarch