Serie A
· Round 6 · Sun 11 Oct, 16:00
Pre-match prediction
30%
25%
45%
Sassuolo 30%
Draw 25%
45% AC Milan
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.62
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%
1-2 9%
0-1 9%
0-2 7%
2-1 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Sassuolo
30% vs 24%
Draw
25% vs 26%
AC Milan
45% vs 50%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
AM
AC Milan
4-4-1-1
16
Maignan GK
6.7
1803
2
Estupiñán LB
6.4
1527
31
Pavlović CB
6.5
1571
34
Gila CB
7.0
1548
46
Gabbia RB
6.5
1681
11
Pulišić CDM
6.8
1621
12
Rabiot CDM
7.9
1615
21
Chukwueze CDM
6.6
1544
22
Moreira CDM
1517
80
Musah CAM
6.7
1492
9
Ramos ST
6.2
1548
49
Murić GK
7.8
1536
3
Doig LB
6.7
1381
15
Ćaleta-Car CB
1483
16
Leysen CB
20
der Brempt RB
1544
17
Adžić CM
6.6
1490
18
Matić CM
6.3
1519
50
Bakola CM
6.7
1469
10
Berardi LW
6.3
1450
45
Laurienté ST
6.5
1337
94
Esposito RW
1437
S
Sassuolo
4-3-3
Sassuolo · Bench
Fali Candé, S. Walukiewicz, C. Volpato, A. Ghion, K. Bowie, G. Satalino, L. Skjellerup, B. Domínguez, C. Odenthal, Rafael Obrador, L. Lipani, K. Thorstvedt, S. Cinquegrano, I. Sulemana, S. Turati
AC Milan · Bench
K. De Winter, R. Loftus-Cheek, S. Bocoum, L. Modrić, O. Hutchinson, F. Tomori, C. Comotto, A. Jashari, D. Bartesaghi, L. P. Bouyer, F. Terracciano, A. Cissè, F. Camarda, L. Torriani
Sassuolo · last 5 B
AC Milan · last 5 E
Head-to-head
11 Oct 2026
Sassuolo
1–1
AC Milan
10 Oct 2026
Sassuolo
1–1
AC Milan
03 May 2026
Sassuolo
2–0
AC Milan
14 Dec 2025
AC Milan
2–2
Sassuolo
14 Apr 2024
Sassuolo
3–3
AC Milan
30 Dec 2023
AC Milan
1–0
Sassuolo
29 Jan 2023
AC Milan
2–5
Sassuolo
30 Aug 2022
Sassuolo
0–0
AC Milan
22 May 2022
Sassuolo
0–3
AC Milan
28 Nov 2021
AC Milan
1–3
Sassuolo
News
AC Milan score three first-half goals to seal derby victory over Inter
bbc · 31 Oct
'We fell behind' - what does new San Siro deal mean for AC Milan and Inter?
bbc · 31 Oct
AC Milan v Inter and the tale of an iconic image
bbc · 31 Oct
Mussolini’s first Serie A goal marks high-flying Lazio’s thrashing of Sassuolo | Nicky Bandini
guardian · 29 Oct
European football: Kane helps Bayern edge Elversberg, Sassuolo stun Juventus
guardian · 13 Sep