Serie A
· Round 7 · Sun 18 Oct, 16:00
Pre-match prediction
42%
28%
31%
AC Milan 42%
Draw 28%
31% Atalanta
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.08
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Both teams to score
48%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%
1-0 12%
0-1 10%
0-0 9%
2-1 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
AC Milan
42% vs 58%
Draw
28% vs 23%
Atalanta
31% vs 19%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
A
Atalanta
29
Carnesecchi GK
6.5
1585
23
Kolašinac CB
5.8
1611
31
Kristensen CB
6.2
1489
8
Pasalic CM
6.4
1603
10
Samardžić CM
6.3
1483
13
Éderson CM
6.3
1622
16
Bellanova CM
1A
7.0
1472
17
Ketelaere CM
6.2
1531
47
Bernasconi CM
6.1
1509
11
Rowe ST
1434
90
Krstović ST
7.6
1523
16
Maignan GK
6.1
1803
5
Winter LB
6.7
1573
22
Moreira CB
1517
31
Pavlović CB
6.8
1571
34
Gila RB
7.9
1548
12
Rabiot CM
1A
9.0
1615
14
Modrić CM
6.8
1622
80
Musah CM
6.7
1492
9
Ramos LW
7.0
1548
11
Pulišić ST
6.3
1621
21
Chukwueze RW
6.1
1544
AM
AC Milan
AC Milan · Bench
P. Estupiñán, R. Loftus-Cheek, S. Bocoum, O. Hutchinson, F. Tomori, C. Comotto, A. Jashari, D. Bartesaghi, V. Vladimirov, L. P. Bouyer, F. Terracciano, A. Cissè, F. Camarda, L. Torriani
Atalanta · Bench
G. Scamacca, R. ObriÄ, J. Idele, D. K. Pounga, M. Sonzogni, M. Plaia, M. Sportiello, N. Zalewski, G. Gaetano, D. Zappacosta
AC Milan · last 5 D
Atalanta · last 5 D
Head-to-head
18 Oct 2026
AC Milan
3–2
Atalanta
10 May 2026
AC Milan
2–3
Atalanta
28 Oct 2025
Atalanta
1–1
AC Milan
20 Apr 2025
AC Milan
0–1
Atalanta
06 Dec 2024
Atalanta
2–1
AC Milan
25 Feb 2024
AC Milan
1–1
Atalanta
09 Dec 2023
Atalanta
3–2
AC Milan
26 Feb 2023
AC Milan
2–0
Atalanta
21 Aug 2022
Atalanta
1–1
AC Milan
15 May 2022
AC Milan
2–0
Atalanta