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Primeira Liga · Round 8 · Sun 11 Oct, 14:30

Rio Ave
3–2
Full time
Nacional

Pre-match prediction

39%
26%
35%
Rio Ave 39% Draw 26% 35% Nacional

ℹPlayer-based sharpening isn't available for this competition yet.

Expected goals
1.26 – 1.30
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
52%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 0-1 11% 1-0 10% 1-2 8% 2-1 8%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Rio Ave
39% vs 44%
Draw
26% vs 28%
Nacional
35% vs 27%

Rio Ave · last 5 A

Alverca (A) 1-0 L Alverca (A) 1-0 L Estrela (H) 3-3 D Santa Clara (A) 4-0 L Sporting CP (H) 0-4 L

Nacional · last 5 D

Famalicao (H) 0-4 L Alverca (H) 1-3 L Sporting CP (A) 2-0 L Estrela (H) 2-3 L Vitória Guimarães (A) 1-0 L

Head-to-head

11 Oct 2026 Rio Ave 3–2 Nacional 25 Jan 2026 Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave 17 Aug 2025 Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional 10 May 2025 Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave 29 Dec 2024 Rio Ave 2–1 Nacional 19 May 2021 Nacional 1–2 Rio Ave 05 Feb 2021 Rio Ave 0–0 Nacional

News

No recent news mentioning either team in our sources.