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Premier League · Round 17 · Sat 26 Dec, 12:30

Aston Villa
vs
Leeds

Prediction

45%
27%
28%
Aston Villa 45% Draw 27% 28% Leeds

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.38 – 1.29
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
56%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14% 0-0 9% 2-1 8% 1-2 8% 1-0 8%

Aston Villa · last 5 A

Nottingham Forest (H) 1-2 L Club Brugge KV (A) 2-3 W Hull (A) 0-0 D Arsenal (H) 0-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 4-0 L

Leeds · last 5

Newcastle United (H) 4-1 W Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 1-1 D Brentford (H) 1-1 D Nottingham Forest (A) 0-1 W West Ham United (A) 3-0 L

Head-to-head

21 Feb 2026 Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds 23 Nov 2025 Leeds 1–2 Aston Villa 13 Jan 2023 Aston Villa 2–1 Leeds 02 Oct 2022 Leeds 0–0 Aston Villa 10 Mar 2022 Leeds 0–3 Aston Villa 09 Feb 2022 Aston Villa 3–3 Leeds 27 Feb 2021 Leeds 0–1 Aston Villa 23 Oct 2020 Aston Villa 0–3 Leeds

News

How an Aston Villa fringe player became Europe's most prolific scorer bbc · 17 Sep Tammy Abraham’s double powers Aston Villa to Carabao Cup win at Coventry guardian · 16 Sep Why Coventry, Tottenham and Aston Villa should not panic about their slow starts guardian · 16 Sep A team in form - how Farke has turned Leeds around bbc · 15 Sep Newcastle couldn't match the physicality of Leeds - Jaissle bbc · 14 Sep Farke 'very happy' with dominant Leeds performance bbc · 14 Sep Leeds inflict heavy defeat on Newcastle to climb to third bbc · 14 Sep Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 14 Sep