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Premier League · Round 17 · Sat 26 Dec, 20:00

Newcastle United
vs
Manchester City

Prediction

23%
26%
51%
Newcastle United 23% Draw 26% 51% Manchester City

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.11 – 1.90
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 1-2 10% 0-2 9% 0-1 8% 0-0 6%

Newcastle United · last 5

Leeds (A) 4-1 L Bournemouth (H) 2-2 D Tottenham Hotspur (A) 0-2 W Liverpool (H) 2-2 D Fulham (A) 2-0 L

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

21 Feb 2026 Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle United 22 Nov 2025 Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester City 15 Feb 2025 Manchester City 4–0 Newcastle United 28 Sep 2024 Newcastle United 1–1 Manchester City 13 Jan 2024 Newcastle United 2–3 Manchester City 19 Aug 2023 Manchester City 1–0 Newcastle United 04 Mar 2023 Manchester City 2–0 Newcastle United 21 Aug 2022 Newcastle United 3–3 Manchester City 08 May 2022 Manchester City 5–0 Newcastle United 19 Dec 2021 Newcastle United 0–4 Manchester City

News

Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 14 Sep Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 13 Sep Manchester City recover from Foden red card as Haaland wins derby at United guardian · 13 Sep All change for Maresca: the data behind Manchester City’s rapid player turnover guardian · 12 Sep Chelsea hand Pedro Neto new deal in wake of his rejecting Manchester City guardian · 11 Sep Haaland strikes twice as Manchester City secure win at Porto bbc · 09 Sep