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Premier League · Round 30 · Sat 20 Mar, 15:00

Manchester City
vs
Manchester United

Prediction

55%
25%
20%
Manchester City 55% Draw 25% 20% Manchester United

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.95 – 1.06
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
57%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 2-1 10% 2-0 9% 1-0 8% 3-1 6%

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Manchester United · last 5 B

Manchester City (H) 0-1 L Sabah FK (H) 4-0 W Everton (A) 2-2 D Ipswich (H) 5-2 W Hull (A) 2-0 L

Head-to-head

13 Sep 2026 Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City 17 Jan 2026 Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City 14 Sep 2025 Manchester City 3–0 Manchester United 06 Apr 2025 Manchester United 0–0 Manchester City 15 Dec 2024 Manchester City 1–2 Manchester United 03 Mar 2024 Manchester City 3–1 Manchester United 29 Oct 2023 Manchester United 0–3 Manchester City 14 Jan 2023 Manchester United 2–1 Manchester City 02 Oct 2022 Manchester City 6–3 Manchester United 06 Mar 2022 Manchester City 4–1 Manchester United

News

Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Football Daily | Michael Carrick risks untimely spell in the ‘crisis’ box seat with Manchester United guardian · 17 Sep Manchester United crisis klaxon alert and Sunderland soar | Football Weekly Extra – video guardian · 17 Sep Real Madrid leading race to sign JJ Gabriel from Manchester United guardian · 17 Sep ‘We can’t accept that’: Carrick urges Manchester United to respond after cup collapse guardian · 16 Sep Manchester United’s latest nightmare & Sunderland shine in Europe bbc · 16 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep Are Manchester United as poor as the early Premier League table suggests? guardian · 15 Sep