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La Liga · Round 8 · Sun 11 Oct, 00:00

Real Madrid
vs
Villarreal

Prediction

68%
18%
15%
Real Madrid 68% Draw 18% 15% Villarreal

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
2.59 – 1.17
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Both teams to score
64%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-1 9% 3-1 8% 2-0 8% 1-1 7% 3-0 7%

Real Madrid · last 5 D

Elche (A) 2-3 W Elche (A) 2-3 W Rayo Vallecano (H) 4-1 W Rayo Vallecano (H) 4-1 W Inter Milan (H) 2-1 W

Villarreal · last 5 B

Malaga (A) 1-3 W Malaga (A) 1-3 W Real Betis (H) 1-2 L Real Betis (H) 1-2 L Borussia Dortmund (A) 3-2 L

Head-to-head

24 Jan 2026 Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid 04 Oct 2025 Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal 15 Mar 2025 Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid 05 Oct 2024 Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal 19 May 2024 Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid 17 Dec 2023 Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal 08 Apr 2023 Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal 07 Jan 2023 Villarreal 2–1 Real Madrid 12 Feb 2022 Villarreal 0–0 Real Madrid 25 Sep 2021 Real Madrid 0–0 Villarreal

News

Carlos Espí gives Real Madrid hope in the face of Barcelona’s La Liga storm | Sid Lowe guardian · 17 Sep Real Madrid leading race to sign JJ Gabriel from Manchester United guardian · 17 Sep Real Madrid keen on Man Utd forward Gabriel, 15 bbc · 17 Sep Chelsea and Real Madrid keen on Arsenal's Zubimendi - Friday's gossip bbc · 10 Sep Mbappe and Valverde strike as Real Madrid edge Inter Milan bbc · 09 Sep Real Madrid 2-1 Inter, Millwall 0-1 Newcastle: Champions League and Carabao Cup – as it happened guardian · 08 Sep Real Madrid somehow cling on to beat Inter on José Mourinho’s big night guardian · 08 Sep Mourinho, Inter and Champions League: Can he deliver again at Real Madrid? bbc · 08 Sep