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La Liga · Round 8 · Sat 10 Oct, 19:00

Pre-match prediction

66%
18%
15%
Real Madrid 66% Draw 18% 15% Villarreal

✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Expected goals
2.53 – 1.20
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Both teams to score
64%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-1 9% 3-1 8% 2-0 8% 1-1 7% 3-0 6%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Real Madrid
66% vs 71%
Draw
18% vs 16%
Villarreal
15% vs 12%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Villarreal 5-3-2
25
Gulácsi GK
6.5 1492
3
Freeman LWB
7.3 1496
6
Navarro CB
6.3 1554
8
Foyth CB
6.8 1610
12
Veiga CB
6.2 1517
23
Cardona RWB
6.6 1606
10
Moleiro CM
5.9 1546
14
Comesaña CM
6.5 1668
18
Gueye CM
6.8 1541
11
Akhomach ST
6.4 1556
22
Pérez ST
6.1 1545
1
Courtois GK
7.7 1929
12
Alexander-Arnold LB
6.7 1518
16
Konaté CB
6.7 1537
18
Fernández CB
7.2 1556
22
Rüdiger RB
6.8 1626
5
Bellingham CDM
6.5 1688
8
Valverde CDM
1A 7.7 2001
14
Tchouaméni LW
6.5 1746
15
Güler CAM
6.8 1633
25
Diomande RW
Goal 8.2 1534
10
Mbappé ST
6.3 1619
Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

Real Madrid · Bench

E. Camavinga, Vinícius Júnior, Endrick, A. Lunin, Marc Cucurella, Carlos Espí, Bernardo Silva, Brahim Díaz, D. Dumfries, Sergio Mestre, Thiago Pitarch

Villarreal · Bench

Luíz Júnior, Logan Costa, A. Diatta, Gerard Moreno, G. Mikautadze, S. Mouriño, C. Macia, Carlos Romero, T. Oluwaseyi, N. El Jmili

Head-to-head

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