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Premier League · Round 16 · Sat 19 Dec, 15:00

Chelsea
vs
Aston Villa

Prediction

43%
26%
31%
Chelsea 43% Draw 26% 31% Aston Villa

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.83 – 1.40
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Both teams to score
65%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 2-1 9% 1-2 7% 2-0 7% 2-2 6%

Chelsea · last 5 D

Brentford (A) 3-0 L Hull (H) 2-2 D Arsenal (A) 2-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 4-3 W Fulham (A) 2-3 W

Aston Villa · last 5 A

Nottingham Forest (H) 1-2 L Club Brugge KV (A) 2-3 W Hull (A) 0-0 D Arsenal (H) 0-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 4-0 L

Head-to-head

04 Mar 2026 Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea 27 Dec 2025 Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa 22 Feb 2025 Aston Villa 2–1 Chelsea 01 Dec 2024 Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa 27 Apr 2024 Aston Villa 2–2 Chelsea 24 Sep 2023 Chelsea 0–1 Aston Villa 01 Apr 2023 Chelsea 0–2 Aston Villa 16 Oct 2022 Aston Villa 0–2 Chelsea 26 Dec 2021 Aston Villa 1–3 Chelsea 11 Sep 2021 Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa

News

From depression after Chelsea injury to playing non-league at 37 bbc · 18 Sep Todd Boehly exits Chelsea diminished after having his fingers burned guardian · 18 Sep How an Aston Villa fringe player became Europe's most prolific scorer bbc · 17 Sep Chelsea's Lavia out to 'change narrative' after injuries bbc · 17 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea stakes to Clearlake bbc · 16 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea shares as Clearlake Capital takes full control of club guardian · 16 Sep Tammy Abraham’s double powers Aston Villa to Carabao Cup win at Coventry guardian · 16 Sep What's gone wrong for Chelsea talent Kendry Paez? bbc · 16 Sep