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Premier League · Round 27 · Sat 27 Feb, 15:00

Aston Villa
vs
Chelsea

Prediction

45%
25%
30%
Aston Villa 45% Draw 25% 30% Chelsea

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.68 – 1.55
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Both teams to score
65%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 11% 2-1 9% 1-2 8% 2-2 7% 1-0 6%

Aston Villa · last 5 B

Barcelona (A) 3-0 L Fulham (H) 1-1 D Fulham (H) 1-1 D Manchester City (H) 2-1 W Viking (H) 3-1 W

Chelsea · last 5 D

Manchester United (H) 2-0 W Tottenham Hotspur (H) 0-2 L Everton (A) 0-2 W Bournemouth (H) 5-1 W Brentford (A) 3-0 L

Head-to-head

04 Mar 2026 Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea 27 Dec 2025 Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa 22 Feb 2025 Aston Villa 2–1 Chelsea 01 Dec 2024 Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa 27 Apr 2024 Aston Villa 2–2 Chelsea 24 Sep 2023 Chelsea 0–1 Aston Villa 01 Apr 2023 Chelsea 0–2 Aston Villa 16 Oct 2022 Aston Villa 0–2 Chelsea 26 Dec 2021 Aston Villa 1–3 Chelsea 11 Sep 2021 Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa

News

Raphinha scores twice as Barcelona beat Aston Villa bbc · 04 Nov How Carpenter has become Chelsea's surprise star bbc · 04 Nov Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened guardian · 03 Nov Raphinha underlines Barcelona’s class to give Aston Villa a reality check guardian · 03 Nov Aston Villa drop threat of legal action against Jamie Carragher after apology guardian · 02 Nov Football Daily | Aston Villa, ‘unacceptable insults’ and thin-skinned clutching of pearls guardian · 02 Nov Chelsea put six past Charlton to top WSL bbc · 01 Nov Arsenal v Aston Villa, London City Lionesses v Manchester City, and more: Women’s Super League – live guardian · 01 Nov