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Premier League · Round 30 · Sat 20 Mar, 15:00

Newcastle United
vs
Leeds

Prediction

42%
27%
30%
Newcastle United 42% Draw 27% 30% Leeds

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.53 – 1.40
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
61%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 2-1 9% 1-2 8% 0-0 7% 1-0 7%

Newcastle United · last 5

Leeds (A) 4-1 L Bournemouth (H) 2-2 D Tottenham Hotspur (A) 0-2 W Liverpool (H) 2-2 D Fulham (A) 2-0 L

Leeds · last 5

Newcastle United (H) 4-1 W Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 1-1 D Brentford (H) 1-1 D Nottingham Forest (A) 0-1 W West Ham United (A) 3-0 L

Head-to-head

14 Sep 2026 Leeds 4–1 Newcastle United 07 Jan 2026 Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds 30 Aug 2025 Leeds 0–0 Newcastle United 13 May 2023 Leeds 2–2 Newcastle United 31 Dec 2022 Newcastle United 0–0 Leeds 22 Jan 2022 Leeds 0–1 Newcastle United 17 Sep 2021 Newcastle United 1–1 Leeds 26 Jan 2021 Newcastle United 1–2 Leeds 16 Dec 2020 Leeds 5–2 Newcastle United

News

A team in form - how Farke has turned Leeds around bbc · 15 Sep Newcastle couldn't match the physicality of Leeds - Jaissle bbc · 14 Sep Farke 'very happy' with dominant Leeds performance bbc · 14 Sep Leeds inflict heavy defeat on Newcastle to climb to third bbc · 14 Sep Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 14 Sep Calvert-Lewin shows the way as Leeds thrash limp Newcastle and rise to third guardian · 14 Sep Calvert-Lewin stars but Botman struggles - player ratings for Leeds v Newcastle bbc · 14 Sep Farke’s blueprint for revitalised Leeds continues upward trajectory guardian · 12 Sep