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Premier League · Round 33 · Sat 24 Apr, 14:00

Chelsea
vs
Manchester City

Prediction

24%
26%
50%
Chelsea 24% Draw 26% 50% Manchester City

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.20 – 1.89
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
61%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 1-2 10% 0-2 8% 0-1 7% 2-1 6%

Chelsea · last 5 D

Brentford (A) 3-0 L Hull (H) 2-2 D Arsenal (A) 2-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 4-3 W Fulham (A) 2-3 W

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

12 Apr 2026 Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City 04 Jan 2026 Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea 25 Jan 2025 Manchester City 3–1 Chelsea 18 Aug 2024 Chelsea 0–2 Manchester City 17 Feb 2024 Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea 12 Nov 2023 Chelsea 4–4 Manchester City 21 May 2023 Manchester City 1–0 Chelsea 05 Jan 2023 Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City 15 Jan 2022 Manchester City 1–0 Chelsea 25 Sep 2021 Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City

News

From depression after Chelsea injury to playing non-league at 37 bbc · 18 Sep Todd Boehly exits Chelsea diminished after having his fingers burned guardian · 18 Sep Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Chelsea's Lavia out to 'change narrative' after injuries bbc · 17 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea stakes to Clearlake bbc · 16 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea shares as Clearlake Capital takes full control of club guardian · 16 Sep What's gone wrong for Chelsea talent Kendry Paez? bbc · 16 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep