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La Liga · Round 8 · Sat 10 Oct, 14:15

Deportivo Alaves
1–2
Full time
Atletico Madrid

Pre-match prediction

26%
26%
48%
Deportivo Alaves 26% Draw 26% 48% Atletico Madrid

✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Expected goals
1.09 – 1.51
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
52%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 0-1 11% 1-2 9% 0-2 8% 1-0 8%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Deportivo Alaves
26% vs 22%
Draw
26% vs 26%
Atletico Madrid
48% vs 52%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
13
Oblak GK
6.5 1826
14
Llorente LB
7.2 1746
21
Romero CB
Goal 7.8 1530
22
Grimaldo CB
Goal 8.4 1551
24
Normand RB
6.3 1602
5
Cardoso LM
6.7 1497
6
Koke CM
7.2 1816
8
Barrios CM
7.0 1630
20
Simeone RM
6.7 1604
11
Lookman ST
5.9 1514
15
David ST
1545
1
Sivera GK
6.8 1381
2
Valentini LB
6.2 1479
7
Pérez CB
5.5 1491
14
Tenaglia CB
6.5 1405
17
Jonny RB
6.4 1485
4
Suárez LM
6.7 1396
8
Blanco CM
6.3 1413
19
Ibáñez CM
6.6 1504
21
Rebbach RM
6.0 1465
11
Martínez ST
6.4 1427
15
Boyé ST
Goal 6.6 1468
Deportivo Alaves 4-4-2

Deportivo Alaves · Bench

Yusi, Guevara, M. Díaz, Carles Aleñá, Hugo Novoa, A. Giménez, V. Koski, Aitor Mañas, Miguel Rodríguez, C. Benavídez, Selu Diallo, X. Olaiz

Atletico Madrid · Bench

J. Musso, Lee Kang-In, A. Sørloth, Álex Baena, Arnau Ortiz, D. Hancko, Marc Pubill, J. Álvarez, M. Hjulmand, J. Dominguez, Dani Martínez, J. Castillo

Deportivo Alaves · last 5 D

Athletic Bilbao (A) 0-0 D Valencia (H) 0-1 L Valencia (H) 0-1 L Racing Santander (A) 2-1 L Osasuna (H) 5-2 W

Atletico Madrid · last 5 A

Real Madrid (H) 2-1 W Real Madrid (H) 2-1 W Osasuna (H) 4-0 W Osasuna (H) 4-0 W Real Sociedad (A) 0-3 W

Head-to-head

11 Oct 2026 Deportivo Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid 10 Oct 2026 Deportivo Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid 18 Jan 2026 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Deportivo Alaves 30 Aug 2025 Deportivo Alaves 1–1 Atletico Madrid 03 May 2025 Deportivo Alaves 0–0 Atletico Madrid 23 Nov 2024 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Deportivo Alaves 21 Apr 2024 Deportivo Alaves 2–0 Atletico Madrid 29 Oct 2023 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Deportivo Alaves 02 Apr 2022 Atletico Madrid 4–1 Deportivo Alaves 25 Sep 2021 Deportivo Alaves 1–0 Atletico Madrid

News

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