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Premier League · Round 11 · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Chelsea
vs
Leeds

Prediction

45%
27%
29%
Chelsea 45% Draw 27% 29% Leeds

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.66 – 1.39
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
62%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 2-1 9% 1-2 8% 2-0 7% 0-0 6%

Chelsea · last 5 D

Brentford (A) 3-0 L Hull (H) 2-2 D Arsenal (A) 2-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 4-3 W Fulham (A) 2-3 W

Leeds · last 5

Newcastle United (H) 4-1 W Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 1-1 D Brentford (H) 1-1 D Nottingham Forest (A) 0-1 W West Ham United (A) 3-0 L

Head-to-head

10 Feb 2026 Chelsea 2–2 Leeds 03 Dec 2025 Leeds 3–1 Chelsea 04 Mar 2023 Chelsea 1–0 Leeds 21 Aug 2022 Leeds 3–0 Chelsea 11 May 2022 Leeds 0–3 Chelsea 11 Dec 2021 Chelsea 3–2 Leeds 13 Mar 2021 Leeds 0–0 Chelsea 05 Dec 2020 Chelsea 3–1 Leeds

News

From depression after Chelsea injury to playing non-league at 37 bbc · 18 Sep Todd Boehly exits Chelsea diminished after having his fingers burned guardian · 18 Sep Chelsea's Lavia out to 'change narrative' after injuries bbc · 17 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea stakes to Clearlake bbc · 16 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea shares as Clearlake Capital takes full control of club guardian · 16 Sep What's gone wrong for Chelsea talent Kendry Paez? bbc · 16 Sep A team in form - how Farke has turned Leeds around bbc · 15 Sep Chelsea’s five-star showing and Arsenal frustrated at home – Women’s Football Weekly podcast guardian · 15 Sep