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Premier League · Round 19 · Sat 02 Jan, 15:00

Chelsea
vs
Newcastle United

Prediction

51%
24%
26%
Chelsea 51% Draw 24% 26% Newcastle United

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
2.10 – 1.39
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Both teams to score
67%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 10% 2-1 9% 2-0 7% 3-1 7% 2-2 6%

Chelsea · last 5 D

Manchester United (H) 2-0 W Tottenham Hotspur (H) 0-2 L Everton (A) 0-2 W Bournemouth (H) 5-1 W Brentford (A) 3-0 L

Newcastle United · last 5 D

Everton (H) 0-1 L Crystal Palace (A) 0-2 W Aston Villa (H) 0-1 L Coventry (A) 4-1 L Hull (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

14 Mar 2026 Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United 20 Dec 2025 Newcastle United 2–2 Chelsea 11 May 2025 Newcastle United 2–0 Chelsea 27 Oct 2024 Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle United 11 Mar 2024 Chelsea 3–2 Newcastle United 25 Nov 2023 Newcastle United 4–1 Chelsea 28 May 2023 Chelsea 1–1 Newcastle United 12 Nov 2022 Newcastle United 1–0 Chelsea 13 Mar 2022 Chelsea 1–0 Newcastle United 30 Oct 2021 Newcastle United 0–3 Chelsea

News

How Carpenter has become Chelsea's surprise star bbc · 04 Nov Newcastle United 0-1 Everton: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 02 Nov Chelsea put six past Charlton to top WSL bbc · 01 Nov Chelsea beat 10-man Man Utd to pile more pressure on Carrick bbc · 31 Oct Manchester United’s capitulation at Chelsea paints picture of a club that barely exists | Barney Ronay guardian · 31 Oct Returning Estevao brings X-factor to strikerless Chelsea bbc · 31 Oct Carrick bemoans Man Utd defending in loss to Chelsea bbc · 31 Oct Manchester United crisis deepens with Chelsea defeat and Martínez red card guardian · 31 Oct