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Premier League · Round 19 · Sun 03 Jan, 14:00

Chelsea
vs
Newcastle United

Prediction

46%
25%
29%
Chelsea 46% Draw 25% 29% Newcastle United

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.99 – 1.55
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Both teams to score
69%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 10% 2-1 9% 1-2 7% 2-2 7% 3-1 6%

Chelsea · last 5 D

Brentford (A) 3-0 L Hull (H) 2-2 D Arsenal (A) 2-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 4-3 W Fulham (A) 2-3 W

Newcastle United · last 5

Leeds (A) 4-1 L Bournemouth (H) 2-2 D Tottenham Hotspur (A) 0-2 W Liverpool (H) 2-2 D Fulham (A) 2-0 L

Head-to-head

14 Mar 2026 Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United 20 Dec 2025 Newcastle United 2–2 Chelsea 11 May 2025 Newcastle United 2–0 Chelsea 27 Oct 2024 Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle United 11 Mar 2024 Chelsea 3–2 Newcastle United 25 Nov 2023 Newcastle United 4–1 Chelsea 28 May 2023 Chelsea 1–1 Newcastle United 12 Nov 2022 Newcastle United 1–0 Chelsea 13 Mar 2022 Chelsea 1–0 Newcastle United 30 Oct 2021 Newcastle United 0–3 Chelsea

News

From depression after Chelsea injury to playing non-league at 37 bbc · 18 Sep Todd Boehly exits Chelsea diminished after having his fingers burned guardian · 18 Sep Chelsea's Lavia out to 'change narrative' after injuries bbc · 17 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea stakes to Clearlake bbc · 16 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea shares as Clearlake Capital takes full control of club guardian · 16 Sep What's gone wrong for Chelsea talent Kendry Paez? bbc · 16 Sep Chelsea’s five-star showing and Arsenal frustrated at home – Women’s Football Weekly podcast guardian · 15 Sep Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 14 Sep